Measured Depth

Measured Depth

Now is the wrong time to be contracting for US LNG

The global market can't support prices high enough to deliver returns

Amber McCullagh's avatar
Amber McCullagh
Dec 16, 2025
∙ Paid

I’m more optimistic than most on medium-term US LNG export volumes, as price-sensitive demand typically emerges as LNG prices fall into the $6-8/MMBtu range. I’m far less sanguine about the long-run profitability of third-wave US LNG investments. That skepticism reflects both higher expected Henry Hub prices and a market that is misreading cyclically h…

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